An agreement that would allow Iran to maintain a full nuclear fuel cycle would be far worse than no agreement, and could force Israel to respond independently
The West was arrogant thinking it could transform Iraq into a stable democracy in 2003. Believing that Iran can be dissuaded from its course without the credible threat of military strikes is an even greater show of hubris.
Shifts in Turkey’s domestic political orientation have led to a change in Ankara’s perceptions of its foreign policy roles and capabilities. The US has misunderstood and largely ignored this shift, failing to understand the implications of Turkey’s transformation under the AKP. A strong and comprehensive policy towards Turkey is long overdue.
The United States and Iran are trading diplomatic fire, with neither side willing to budge. Iran will continue its drive to the bomb, leaving Obama with no other choice but to take military action.
The changes in the region will force the Obama administration to make some difficult decisions on how to act regarding Egypt, Syria, the Palestinians, and Iran. Alarmist scenarios that a second term Obama administration will abandon Israel are unwarranted.
Israel and the US must improve their lines of communication. The US also ought to consider equipping Israel with enhanced military resources that would allow Israel to confront Iran at a later date – giving the West more time to pressure the Iranian regime.
The lack of leadership and clear policy principles evinced by the Obama White House have severely weakened America's position in the Middle East, leaving a void to be filled by hostile regional powers such as Iran.
Netanyahu went to Washington with a centrist message, parried the attempts of Obama to extract additional concessions, and signaled to the world that its expectations about the shape of a future agreement must be calibrated in accordance with the wishes of the Israeli electorate.
For the rulers of Riyadh, the primary result of the "Arab Spring" has been a shaking of the strategic foundation and alignments that have shaped Saudi regional policy since the 1979 Iranian Revolution.