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Settlements

The Trump administrationโ€™s decision to repudiate an earlier approach that regarded Israeli communities across the โ€œGreen Lineโ€ as illegal has been praised and condemned. While there may be merit to seeing the move as an effort to help PM Benjamin Netanyahu or at least break Israelโ€™s electoral logjam, there are deeper motives at play. Trump and his administration have made a hallmark of defying dysfunctional conventional wisdom and foreign policy inertia that elevate process over results. But while the predicted calamities of this policy have not materialized, the administrationโ€™s lack of any Grand Strategy makes the benefits difficult to aggregate.
The understandings reached between the Trump administration and the Netanyahu government, and approved by the Israeli Security Cabinet (despite some protests), show that a reasonable program of settlement construction is not the root of all evil in the region. In fact, a peace deal is more likely if space is given to the mainstream settler community. The new understandings overturn the language of UNSCR 2334 and the "purist" interpretation of "international legitimacy." Such a return to the recognition of existing realities โ€“ which was granted in the exchange of letters between Bush and Sharon in April 2004 โ€“ would help all sides come closer to a realistic compromise.

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