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Western pundits spend a great deal of time trying to determine โ€œwho lost Turkey.โ€ Ankaraโ€™s relations with the West are indeed tense, but there will be no severing of ties or withdrawal from NATO. Ankara is attempting a balancing act in which it diversifies its external ties to include Eurasia rather than remain anchored solely to the West.
Western pundits spend a great deal of time trying to determine โ€œwho lost Turkey.โ€ Ankaraโ€™s relations with the West are indeed tense, but there will be no severing of ties or withdrawal from NATO. Ankara is attempting a balancing act in which it diversifies its external ties to include Eurasia rather than remain anchored solely to the West.
As the world awaits Joe Bidenโ€™s inauguration as president of the US, Washingtonโ€™s relations with China are under primary scrutiny. However, ties with Russia are no less important, as the two states have numerous differences across Eurasia. Washington will have to apply a careful balance of pressure on Russia to keep it from growing closer to China, and Biden possesses the statesmanship and experience to accomplish this. US-Russia relations under Biden should be strikingly different from what they were during the Trump administration.
The Nagorno-Karabakh conflict has become an important component of Turkish foreign policy. Over the years, Ankaraโ€™s support for Baku has grown exponentially. Diplomacy was an element of this support, but moreย significant was the dispatch of sophisticated weaponry. Greater support for Azerbaijan coincided with Turkeyโ€™s more active foreign policy in the Middle East and the Mediterranean, and is now strikingly different from Ankara-Baku relations of the 1990s and even the early 2010s. The reason for Ankaraโ€™s assertiveness could be access to energy and trade routes.
While government officials and others have alleged a strategy that involves Russian-sponsored security organizations in recent escalations in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, these claims are largely misconceptions. The conventional wisdom fails to recognize these structures as representing alternative security perceptions held by Russia and other participating states rather than traditional NATO-style military alliances.
The world is an increasingly unstable place. This is reflected in the way supply chains, a pillar of the globalized world, are changing. More and more countries are considering moving away from their dependence on China to the Indo-China region, which has a burgeoning population and rising economies. This process will accelerate as differences between the West and China multiply.

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