The Israel–Iran War: Israel’s New Strategic Opening

Table of Contents	3
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY	4
PART I: ISRAEL AND THE UNITED STATES VERSUS IRAN IN THE IRAN WAR	8
ISRAEL’S STRATEGIC CALCULUS	9
OPERATION RISING LION: A MILITARY PERSPECTIVE	14
THE AIR AND MISSILE DEFENSE OF ISRAEL DURING OPERATION RISING LION	20
WHAT CAN ISRAEL EXPECT FROM THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION ON IRAN?	26
FROM ISRAEL’S USCENTCOM INTEGRATION TO OPERATION MIDNIGHT HAMMER	30
PART II: OTHER PLAYERS’ REACTIONS TO THE WAR	34
HOWGLOBAL OILMARKETSMITIGATED THE THREAT TOTHE STRAITS OF HORMUZ	35
MID-EAST MISSTEP: WHAT THE ISRAEL-IRAN WAR REVEALS ABOUT CHINA’S STRATEGIC LIMITS	37
MOSCOW, TRUMP, AND THE ISRAEL-IRAN WAR	41
CIRCLES OF CONFLICT AND DETERRENCE CONSIDERATIONS: DYNAMICS AMONG INDIA, PAKISTAN, IRAN AND ISRAEL IN AN ERA OF CONFLICTING STRATEGIES	44
PART III: THE REGIONAL ‘DAY AFTER’	50
A 1967 MOMENT: THE PATH FORWARD AFTER THE IRAN WAR	51
RECENT BESA CENTER PUBLICATIONS	55

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