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May 14, 2007

The election this week of Nicolas Sarkozy as President of France is unlikely to lead to a substantial shift in French policy towards Israel, although the tone of French-Israeli relations can be expected to improve. Even the most favorable French administration will continue to take into account France's traditional ties with the Arab world, France's significant Muslim population, and public opinion in France – which is not at all favorable to Israel. It is equally possible that tightened French-US coordination regarding the Israeli-Palestinian conflict may lead to enhanced diplomatic pressure on Israel. However, in spite of political disagreements, the existing dialogue and gradual process of improving bilateral relations will most likely prevail.

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