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October 18, 2017

As a result of Moscowโ€™s geopolitical considerations in Syria, chief among them the desire to avoid direct confrontation with the US and Israel, Russiaโ€™s air defenses in the region have assumed the tasks of political intimidation and reassurance. The Kremlin has issued warnings to both Israel and the US-led anti-ISIS coalition not to strike forces loyal to Syrian President Bashar Assad, but Russia is unlikely to attempt to engage Israeli or coalition aerial assets unless its own forces are attacked or the assets approach Russian military installations too closely. Even then, intercepting them will be no easy task. While Russiaโ€™s modern air defenses in Syria are formidable, they are not โ€œgame-changers.โ€

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