March 4, 2025

AI generated illustration (Grok)
February is a time of plenty for the researcher of intellectual and academic thought. Publications are published that did not find a niche in the editorial plans of the previous year; yearbooks appear for which the publishers hold back the most interesting materials. This issue, unlike the previous one, talks more about conflicts within the states of the former USSR - cognitive, interethnic, interreligious and even ideological.
The IDF’s current mechanism for determining and providing intelligence assessments rigidifies the thinking of intelligence analysts, and increases the risk that they will not recognize changes in the behavioral patterns of the adversary that affect the predictive ability and relevance of the forecast. Providing assessments should be the beginning of the process, not the end. A structured, open, and ongoing discussion of an assessment can make both the process and the product more dynamic in the face of changing conditions.

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