Egypt’s Army Will Not Intervene
Hopes or expectations that the Egyptian military will intervene in the deteriorating political and security crisis are probably misguided.
Hopes or expectations that the Egyptian military will intervene in the deteriorating political and security crisis are probably misguided.
Morsi’s hosting Ahmadinejad signals a potential improvement in ties between Egypt and Iran. This move will backfire, as ultimately Morsi needs the US and Gulf countries more than they need him.
Egyptian President Morsi is proving to be a dictator in the footsteps of his predecessor Hosni Mubarak.
The Palestinians are part of the old Arab order because time and time again they have aligned themselves with the worst dictators of the Arab world, and their own governments in the West Bank and Gaza are cut from the same cloth as the regimes of the old Arab order.
Who will shape Egypt’s constitution – the Islamists or the military-backed secularists? While the former seemingly holds the majority public vote, the latter holds the fire power, thus evening out the political battlefield.
Supporting Egyptian Vice President Omar Suleiman in the current crisis will prevent a Muslim Brotherhood takeover of Egypt and avoid a bloody and protracted Egyptian civil war marked by foreign intervention.
The US should withdraw its forces from Afghanistan because there are other states capable of shouldering the burden of stabilizing the country, and the threat to US security is no longer acute. Iraq, however, can be stabilized only by the US, and its long-term stability is a vital US interest with lasting and broad implications.
Mahmoud Abbas cannot yet afford to lose the Israeli army presence in the West Bank as the threat of a Hamas takeover there still looms. Thus the peace talks are a pretense.
Recent signs of Abbas’ radicalization include indications of support for
violence against Israel. This suggests that Abbas may not have been, after all, the address for negotiation of a stable two-state solution.
Abbas finally appears to have gained some power in his party, Fatah. But due to persisting Palestinian internal divisions, he will still need the help of Israel and the US for controlling the West Bank.