Intense and exclusive American pressure on Israel will result in the
hardening of Arab and Palestinian positions, and will scuttle, rather than initiate, real negotiations.
Postponing and possibly avoiding a fight with the Obama administration was the main reason for Israelโs settlement freeze. Ten months from now the Israeli prime minister may be in a better position to resist US pressure.
The pious Jewish identity spiritual claptrap that characterized J Street's
conference in Washington is a cover for an agenda that involves besmirching the mainstream Jewish community and engendering a distancing in US-Israel relations.
Mitchell, and with him a large part of the international community, fail to
understand that the ethnic conflict being waged in the Holy Land will end only when the parties tire. So far, Israelis and Palestinians still have energy to fight for what is important to them.
Obama's ambitious Mideast agenda has so far produced meager results. Many regional players are primarily concerned about Iran's quest for nuclear weapons, and are not easily amenable to American overtures.
Obamaโs intention to "engage" countries like Iran and Syria in order to
start a "new page" in bilateral relations strike most Israelis and Mideast Arabs as naรฏve. Both the Arabs and Israel want to see Iran and its proxies rolled back, not appeased, by Washington.
Obamaโs idealism will face harsh realities that limit his policy options,
especially with regard to the Palestinian-Israeli conflict and Iran.
Obama and Netanyahu are both pragmatic leaders capable of adjusting to realities; and thus can be expected to make efforts to avoid a major confrontation.
Bush's new plan for Middle East peace is inadequate and rests on several faulty assumptions, including the beliefs that outside influences can change Palestinian society, Abu Mazen is the leader to bring about change, and the Palestinians will be "good" neighbors towards Israel. However, the realities of Palestinian society reflect a different picture. Israel's best bet is to wait for a better opportunity to attain stability.
It is imperative that America lead a drive to promote democracy and freedom around the world. The successful implementation of these values can be realized even in hostile places such as Iraq, Iran, and the Palestinian Territories.