With parliamentary elections scheduled for 2026, Armenia’s political direction is entering a decisive phase. Prime Minister Pashinyan’s government is positioning itself as a reformist, pro-European force, while the Church-aligned opposition — increasingly backed by oligarch money and networks tied to Moscow — is framing the administration as traitorous and illegitimate. The recent arrests of clerics and figures like Samvel Karapetyan can be seen as a preemptive move to weaken this alliance before it consolidates into a formal electoral challenge.