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In the summer of 2023, Gagauz Yeri, Autonomous Territorial Unit in the Republic of Moldova, got into the spotlight of political commentaries. In May, Evghenia Guศ›ul, a representative of the โ€œศ˜orโ€ political party, won the regional election for the post of BaลŸkan, the regional governor. However, this electoral outcome was met with disdain and skepticism by the central authorities in Chiศ™inฤƒu. Moldovan president Maia Sandu defiantly refused to attend Guศ›ulโ€™s official inauguration, the Anti-Corruption Committee attempted to seize ballot papers from the local election office (to which the regionโ€™s residents responded with mass protests), and Guศ›ul herself claimed to have been threatened by the state prosecutor. What are the reasons for this situation and what could be the consequences for the political life in Moldova?
The current Azerbaijani military operation in Karabakh was framed in Baku as anti-terrorist, since it came as a reaction to a series of subversive actions, including the killing 19 September of 6 Azerbaijanis by Armenian separatist paramilitary units. As far as Armenia is concerned, the further developments might depend on how the current government in Yerevan plays its cards and whether it will survive in case of the defeat (as it looks like happen now) of the Karabakh separatists. A most intriguing, among other questions, is: whether it will deepen Yerevanโ€™s dependence from Moscow? Or could it be Armenia's path towards independence from Russia?
EU-Russia relations are at their lowest since the end of the Cold War and show limited potential for meaningful improvement. The era of attempts to reset bilateral ties is over. The estrangement between Brussels and Moscow may contribute toward a strengthening of Europeโ€™s ties to the US.
The massive protests staged in Russia by supporters of opposition leader Alexei Navalny pose a serious threat to the countryโ€™s political elite. The Kremlin has a problem on its hands no matter what it does. Whether Navalny is kept in prison or released, his movement will be strengthened, and it has the potential to fuse to broader public dissent over Russiaโ€™s long-term economic performance and government ineffectiveness.
The world is an increasingly unstable place. This is reflected in the way supply chains, a pillar of the globalized world, are changing. More and more countries are considering moving away from their dependence on China to the Indo-China region, which has a burgeoning population and rising economies. This process will accelerate as differences between the West and China multiply.

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