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Mahmoud Abbas

For over a decade, Israel has avoided deciding whether its interests are better served by maintaining the current โ€œtwo Palestinian statesโ€ status quo, or by seeing Gaza rejoin the Palestinian Authority. The result is an untenable, chronic-crisis situation that empowers Mahmoud Abbas and is a lose-lose situation for Israel.
The claim that an agreement among the US administration, the Palestinian Authority, and the Egyptians to allow the PA to turn the financial screws on Hamas would culminate in the PAโ€™s reassertion of control over the Gaza Strip could not be further from reality. In the Middle East, only armed force prevails.
Palestinian Authority president Mahmoud Abbasโ€™s recent illnesses have again raised the matter of his successor. This brewing issue highlights contradictory aspects of Palestinian political culture. The leaders create chaos and then blackmail Western powers in exchange for containment of the unrest. Their next step is to internationalize the conflict by demanding unconditional support. Both tactics create dependency and fundamentally undermine Palestinian sovereignty. Trusteeship schemes for the West Bank illustrate the pattern of dysfunction. Only a concept of Palestinian sovereignty free of blackmail and internationalization would allow for a successful state, but this is thwarted by the concept of Palestinian national honor, which demands a return to an imaginary status quo ante.
Following the recognition of Jerusalem as Israelโ€™s capital by US President Donald Trump, President of the Palestinian Authority Mahmoud Abbas is counting on the EU to support his cause. In his January 2018 meeting with EU High Representative Federica Mogherini, he was assured โ€œof the firm commitment of the EU to the two-state solution, with Jerusalem as shared capital of the two states โ€“ the State of Israel and the State of Palestineโ€. However, it remains questionable whether the EU has the necessary gravitas to play a catalytic political role in the peace process. BESA joins the debate by posing the question: Can Mahmoud Abbas achieve anything in Europe?
Rather than entrench itself in its century-long rejection of the โ€œotherโ€ at the certain cost of prolonging its peopleโ€™s suffering, the Palestinian leadership should accept the legitimacy of Jewish statehood. This was, in fact, acknowledged 100 years ago by the international community, including the worldโ€™s foremost Muslim power, the head of the pan-Arab movement, and most Palestinian Arabs.
On July 18, 2017, PA President Mahmoud Abbas met with Chinese President Xi Jinping. According to the media, the meeting was productive. โ€œBeijing will create a dialogue mechanism between Israel and the Palestinians, with China being the mediator, and later this year China will hold a peace conference and try to resolve the conflictโ€, according to Xi. This sounds good, but Beijing has more pressing priorities. It is not interested in forging deals with little chance of success.
Is Mahmoud Abbas, like Yasser Arafat before him, stalling the peace process out of fear that no agreement would be sufficiently maximizing? By now he should have learned that the best deals are those signed with confidence, in mutual trust and good will; and that he stands to gain a great deal through constructive action rather than destructive antics. Those who lead know that decisive journeys start with a risky first step.

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