Iranian Fragmentation and the Post-Soviet Security Arc: Why Instability South of the Caucasus Is Already Reshaping Eurasian Security Dynamics
PSCRP-BESA Reports No 188 (March 9, 2026)
by Gershon Kogan
Debates about Iran’s possible fragmentation tend to reproduce the same conceptual error: state breakdown is framed as a geopolitical event — sudden, discrete, visible. Fragmentation is better understood as a …









